SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 22.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Southend United |
54.62% ( -0.52) | 23.35% ( 0.23) | 22.03% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 53.58% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.28% ( -0.65) | 46.72% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.02% ( -0.61) | 68.98% ( 0.61) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.01% ( -0.42) | 16.99% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.89% ( -0.75) | 47.11% ( 0.75) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.55% ( -0.08) | 35.45% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.78% ( -0.09) | 72.22% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.98% Total : 54.61% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.35% | 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.94% Total : 22.03% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 39 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 100 | 35 | 65 | 97 |
| 2 | Notts County | 40 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 101 | 36 | 65 | 94 |
| 3 | Woking | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 71 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 71 |
| 5 | Barnet | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 66 |
| 6 | Eastleigh | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 64 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 62 |
| 8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Bromley | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 55 |
| 11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 55 |
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 53 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 59 | 69 | -10 | 52 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 47 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 46 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 43 |
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 12 | 7 | 20 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 43 |
| 18 | York City | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 55 | 84 | -29 | 40 |
| 20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 38 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 37 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 39 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 46 | 75 | -29 | 33 |
| 23 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 31 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 39 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 41 | 83 | -42 | 24 |
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