Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
