SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.26%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
16.75% ( -0.08) | 21.83% ( 0) | 61.42% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.51% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.33% ( -0.14) | 47.67% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.13% ( -0.13) | 69.86% ( 0.13) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.26% ( -0.18) | 41.74% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.79% ( -0.16) | 78.21% ( 0.16) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.99% ( -0.03) | 15.01% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.52% ( -0.05) | 43.48% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 5.48% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 16.75% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.83% | 0-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 11.26% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.12% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.28% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 61.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 21 |
| 17 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 |
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 |
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
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