Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 16.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
