SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.96%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Barnet |
35.62% ( 1.37) | 22.62% ( 0.27) | 41.76% ( -1.64) |
| Both teams to score 66.57% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.86% ( -1.03) | 34.14% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.97% ( -1.17) | 56.03% ( 1.18) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.25% ( 0.21) | 19.76% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.21% ( 0.33) | 51.8% ( -0.32) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% ( -1.05) | 17.04% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.8% ( -1.9) | 47.2% ( 1.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Barnet |
| 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.32)2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.32% Total : 35.62% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.19)2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.13)3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.36% Total : 41.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 38 |
| 2 | Barnet | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 35 |
| 3 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 5 | Bromley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 26 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
| 7 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
| 8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 20 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 19 |
| 13 | Woking | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
| 14 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 |
| 15 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Ebbsfleet | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 16 |
| 17 | York City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 |
| 19 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 14 |
| 20 | Oxford CityOxford City | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 14 |
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 13 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 13 |
| 24 | Fylde | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 9 |
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