SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boreham Wood | Draw | Gateshead |
50.26% ( 5.89) | 24.32% ( -1.5) | 25.41% ( -4.39) |
| Both teams to score 54.36% ( 1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.44% ( 3.49) | 47.56% ( -3.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.23% ( 3.14) | 69.77% ( -3.14) |
| Boreham Wood Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( 3.98) | 18.95% ( -3.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.53% ( 6.23) | 50.47% ( -6.23) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% ( -1.55) | 32.93% ( 1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.49% ( -1.75) | 69.51% ( 1.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boreham Wood | Draw | Gateshead |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.55)2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.83)3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.88)3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.96)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.38)4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.58)4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.58)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.28)Other @ 3.18% Total : 50.26% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.75) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.96)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( -1.41) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.71)0-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.98)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.38)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.44)Other @ 2.46% Total : 25.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Wrexham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 116 | 43 | 73 | 111 |
| P | Notts County | 46 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 117 | 42 | 75 | 107 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 81 | 52 | 29 | 84 |
| 4 | Woking | 46 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 82 |
| 5 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 75 | 67 | 8 | 74 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 72 |
| 7 | Bromley | 46 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 71 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 69 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 67 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 63 |
| 11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 61 |
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 61 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 60 |
| 14 | Gateshead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 62 | 5 | 59 |
| 15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 58 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 91 | -24 | 57 |
| 17 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 68 | 82 | -14 | 56 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 53 |
| 19 | York City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 51 |
| 20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 50 |
| R | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 48 |
| R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 40 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 49 | 87 | -38 | 34 |
| R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 46 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 45 | 104 | -59 | 25 |
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