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National League | Gameweek 28
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Park
TU
Boreham Wood
0 - 1
Torquay Utd

Brunt (65'), Bush (75'), Newton (90'), Newton (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hall (32')
Jarvis (45+1'), Moxey (62'), Nouble (71'), Dawson (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-0 Eastleigh
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-2 Dag & Red
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League

We said: Boreham Wood 2-1 Torquay United

Torquay are quickly running out of games in their bid to remain in the fifth tier, but after failing to win any of their last eight matches, we think that they will be edged out by a Boreham Wood side that usually fare well on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 62.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 15.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Boreham WoodDrawTorquay United
62.85% (0.775 0.77) 21.91% (-0.401 -0.4) 15.24% (-0.376 -0.38)
Both teams to score 46.01% (0.337 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.38% (0.914 0.91)50.61% (-0.917 -0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.47% (0.801 0.8)72.52% (-0.804 -0.8)
Boreham Wood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.46% (0.565 0.56)15.53% (-0.57 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.54% (1.048 1.05)44.46% (-1.051 -1.05)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.48% (0.033000000000001 0.03)45.52% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.65% (0.028000000000002 0.03)81.34% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Boreham Wood 62.85%
    Torquay United 15.24%
    Draw 21.91%
Boreham WoodDrawTorquay United
1-0 @ 13.16% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 12.26% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.031999999999998 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.61% (0.164 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.135 0.14)
4-0 @ 3.54% (0.143 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.115 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.056 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.32% (0.078 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 62.85%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.265 -0.27)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 21.91%
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.203 -0.2)
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.19% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 15.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-0 Eastleigh
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 2-0 Boreham Wood
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Southend
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 0-1 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 0-2 Boreham Wood
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Dorking
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-2 Dag & Red
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 1-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-2 Wealdstone
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 3-2 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-2 Bromley
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League
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National League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CWrexham4534831154273110
2Notts County45321031164175106
3Chesterfield452491277522581
4Woking4423101170472379
5Barnet4521111375651074
6Bromley4518161167521570
7Boreham WoodBoreham Wood4418151151381369
8Southend UnitedSouthend451991755441166
9Eastleigh45199175556-166
10Oldham AthleticOldham451612176263-160
11Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red45179195972-1360
12Solihull MoorsSolihull441513166262058
13Halifax TownHalifax441512174747057
14WealdstoneWealdstone441512175370-1757
15AltrinchamAltrincham451413186781-1455
16Dorking WanderersDorking45159216590-2554
17Gateshead441315166162-153
18Aldershot TownAldershot451410216375-1252
19York City451311215462-850
20Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead451311214762-1550
21Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd451211225779-2247
RYeovil TownYeovil45719193559-2440
RScunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe45810274885-3734
RMaidstone UnitedMaidstone455103045100-5525
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