SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Altrincham |
51.85% ( 0.4) | 22.37% ( -0.15) | 25.78% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 61.42% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.6% ( 0.48) | 38.4% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.31% ( 0.5) | 60.69% ( -0.5) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.02% ( 0.3) | 14.98% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.59% ( 0.57) | 43.41% ( -0.58) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.24% ( 0.07) | 27.76% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.66% ( 0.09) | 63.33% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Altrincham |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.06% Total : 51.85% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.7% Total : 25.78% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Wrexham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 116 | 43 | 73 | 111 |
| 2 | Notts County | 46 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 117 | 42 | 75 | 107 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 81 | 52 | 29 | 84 |
| 4 | Woking | 46 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 82 |
| 5 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 75 | 67 | 8 | 74 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 72 |
| 7 | Bromley | 46 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 71 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 69 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 67 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 63 |
| 11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 61 |
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 61 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 60 |
| 14 | Gateshead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 62 | 5 | 59 |
| 15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 58 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 91 | -24 | 57 |
| 17 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 68 | 82 | -14 | 56 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 53 |
| 19 | York City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 51 |
| 20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 50 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 48 |
| R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 40 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 49 | 87 | -38 | 34 |
| R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 46 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 45 | 104 | -59 | 25 |
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