Hungerford Town 3-4 Ebbsfleet - National League South - November 13, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

National League South | Gameweek 14

Nov 13, 2021 at 3pm UK

Bulpit Lane

Hungerford

3 - 4

Ebbsfleet

Wanjau-Smith (23'), Seager (84', 87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bingham (6'), Kahraman (56'), Poleon (73'), Egan (80')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Hungerford Town and Ebbsfleet.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 50.9%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Hungerford Town	Draw	Ebbsfleet
26.16%	22.93%	50.9%

Both teams to score 59.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.28%

40.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.9%

63.1%

Hungerford Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.3%

28.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.48%

64.52%

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.86%

16.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.43%

45.57%

Score Analysis

Hungerford Town 26.16%

Ebbsfleet 50.9%

Draw 22.93%

Hungerford Town	Draw	Ebbsfleet
2-1 @ 6.58% 1-0 @ 5.78% 2-0 @ 3.61% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.45% Total : 26.16%	1-1 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.93%	1-2 @ 9.62% 0-1 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 7.7% 1-3 @ 5.85% 0-3 @ 4.68% 2-3 @ 3.65% 1-4 @ 2.67% 0-4 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 1.67% 1-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.51% Total : 50.9%

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Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Ebbsfleet	46	32	7	7	110	47	63	103
2	Dartford Dartford	46	25	8	13	82	50	32	83
3	Oxford City Oxford City	46	21	15	10	83	56	27	78
4	Worthing	46	22	12	12	92	72	20	78
5	Chelmsford City Chelmsford City	46	23	9	14	67	49	18	78
6	St Albans City St Albans City	46	22	9	15	72	51	21	75
7	Braintree Town Braintree	46	20	14	12	66	55	11	74
8	Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne	46	22	5	19	74	66	8	71
9	Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels	46	20	10	16	68	69	-1	70
10	Havant & Waterlooville Havant & W'ville	46	19	12	15	80	70	10	69
11	Bath City	46	19	10	17	64	57	7	67
12	Farnborough Town	46	19	9	18	59	52	7	66
13	Chippenham Town Chippenham	46	15	17	14	57	66	-9	62
14	Taunton Town Taunton Town	46	17	10	19	50	55	-5	61
15	Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead	46	15	15	16	49	57	-8	60
16	Welling United Welling United	46	15	14	17	57	63	-6	58
17	Hampton & Richmond Hampton	46	15	9	22	59	71	-12	54
18	Slough Town Slough	46	13	12	21	58	78	-20	51
19	Weymouth	46	14	6	26	59	78	-19	48
20	Dover Athletic Dover Athletic	46	12	12	22	42	68	-26	48
R	Dulwich Hamlet Dulwich Hamlet	46	13	9	24	61	89	-28	48
R	Concord Rangers	46	12	8	26	45	85	-40	44
R	Cheshunt	46	11	10	25	48	74	-26	43
R	Hungerford Town Hungerford	46	10	10	26	48	72	-24	40