Slough Town 1-3 Ebbsfleet - National League South - October 9, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Oct 9, 2021 at 3pm UK at Arbour Park

Harris (17')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bingham (41' pen.), Martin (71'), Martin (78')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Slough Town and Ebbsfleet.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Slough Town had a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 0-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Slough Town win it was 2-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Slough Town	Draw	Ebbsfleet
19.99%	21.3%	58.7%

Both teams to score 57.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.76%

40.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.38%

62.61%

Slough Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.25%

33.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.59%

70.41%

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.57%

13.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.61%

40.39%

Score Analysis

Slough Town 19.99%

Ebbsfleet 58.7%

Draw 21.3%

Slough Town	Draw	Ebbsfleet
2-1 @ 5.37% 1-0 @ 4.92% 2-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 1.95% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.17% Total : 19.99%	1-1 @ 9.88% 2-2 @ 5.39% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.3%	1-2 @ 9.92% 0-2 @ 9.14% 0-1 @ 9.1% 1-3 @ 6.64% 0-3 @ 6.11% 2-3 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 3.33% 0-4 @ 3.07% 2-4 @ 1.81% 1-5 @ 1.34% 0-5 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.4% Total : 58.7%

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Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Ebbsfleet	40	28	7	5	94	41	53	91
2	Dartford Dartford	38	21	7	10	70	42	28	70
3	Oxford City Oxford City	40	18	14	8	69	48	21	68
4	Chelmsford City Chelmsford City	40	20	8	12	55	40	15	68
5	Braintree Town Braintree	40	17	13	10	56	47	9	64
6	Worthing	40	17	12	11	75	67	8	63
7	St Albans City St Albans City	39	18	8	13	61	45	16	62
8	Havant & Waterlooville Havant & W'ville	39	18	8	13	71	57	14	62
9	Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels	40	18	8	14	62	60	2	62
10	Farnborough Town	38	17	9	12	50	39	11	60
11	Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne	40	18	5	17	66	61	5	59
12	Bath City	40	16	10	14	55	50	5	58
13	Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead	40	15	11	14	45	48	-3	56
14	Chippenham Town Chippenham	38	11	14	13	44	52	-8	47
15	Welling United Welling United	39	11	13	15	45	55	-10	45
16	Hampton & Richmond Hampton	39	12	8	19	51	62	-11	44
17	Dover Athletic Dover Athletic	39	11	11	17	37	54	-17	44
18	Taunton Town Taunton Town	35	11	10	14	37	39	-2	43
19	Slough Town Slough	40	11	10	19	47	71	-24	43
20	Cheshunt	40	10	10	20	45	64	-19	40
21	Dulwich Hamlet Dulwich Hamlet	39	11	6	22	56	82	-26	39
22	Hungerford Town Hungerford	38	9	8	21	41	55	-14	35
23	Weymouth	39	10	5	24	48	72	-24	35
24	Concord Rangers	34	8	7	19	32	61	-29	31