Hemel Hempstead Town 1-3 Ebbsfleet - National League South - January 8, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Jan 8, 2022 at 3pm UK at Vauxhall Ground

Hughes (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tanner (8', 58'), Poleon (53')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Ebbsfleet.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 0-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 2-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Ebbsfleet
19.47%	20.66%	59.87%

Both teams to score 58.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62%

38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.74%

60.26%

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.04%

32.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.46%

69.55%

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.63%

12.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.77%

38.23%

Score Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 19.47%

Ebbsfleet 59.87%

Draw 20.66%

Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Ebbsfleet
2-1 @ 5.25% 1-0 @ 4.53% 2-0 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.03% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.47%	1-1 @ 9.46% 2-2 @ 5.48% 0-0 @ 4.08% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.66%	1-2 @ 9.88% 0-2 @ 8.91% 0-1 @ 8.52% 1-3 @ 6.88% 0-3 @ 6.2% 2-3 @ 3.82% 1-4 @ 3.6% 0-4 @ 3.24% 2-4 @ 2% 1-5 @ 1.5% 0-5 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.96% Total : 59.87%

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Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Ebbsfleet	36	25	6	5	81	36	45	81
2	Dartford Dartford	35	20	6	9	65	38	27	66
3	Braintree Town Braintree	35	17	10	8	52	40	12	61
4	Havant & Waterlooville Havant & W'ville	34	18	6	10	64	47	17	60
5	Oxford City Oxford City	36	16	12	8	61	44	17	60
6	Worthing	36	16	12	8	66	51	15	60
7	Chelmsford City Chelmsford City	35	16	8	11	41	33	8	56
8	Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels	36	16	6	14	54	54	0	54
9	St Albans City St Albans City	34	15	7	12	52	39	13	52
10	Farnborough Town	32	15	7	10	42	32	10	52
11	Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne	36	16	4	16	59	56	3	52
12	Bath City	35	13	10	12	48	43	5	49
13	Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead	35	13	10	12	39	42	-3	49
14	Dover Athletic Dover Athletic	35	11	11	13	36	44	-8	44
15	Welling United Welling United	34	10	12	12	43	51	-8	42
16	Slough Town Slough	35	9	10	16	40	64	-24	37
17	Taunton Town Taunton Town	29	9	9	11	31	31	0	36
18	Dulwich Hamlet Dulwich Hamlet	34	10	5	19	48	68	-20	35
19	Hampton & Richmond Hampton	34	8	8	18	41	58	-17	32
20	Cheshunt	34	8	8	18	39	60	-21	32
21	Chippenham Town Chippenham	32	6	13	13	32	47	-15	31
22	Weymouth	33	9	4	20	42	61	-19	31
23	Hungerford Town Hungerford	33	7	7	19	30	43	-13	28
24	Concord Rangers	30	7	7	16	30	54	-24	28