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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dover Athletic win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dover Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Hampton & Richmond |
40.88% ( 0.68) | 25.24% ( -0.2) | 33.88% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 56.45% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.85% ( 0.77) | 47.15% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.61% ( 0.72) | 69.38% ( -0.72) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% ( 0.68) | 22.92% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.31% ( 1) | 56.69% ( -1) |
| Hampton & Richmond Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( 0.07) | 26.75% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.97% ( 0.1) | 62.02% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Hampton & Richmond |
| 1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.88% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 33.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Ebbsfleet | 45 | 31 | 7 | 7 | 105 | 47 | 58 | 100 |
| 2 | DartfordDartford | 45 | 25 | 7 | 13 | 82 | 50 | 32 | 82 |
| 3 | Oxford CityOxford City | 45 | 21 | 15 | 9 | 82 | 54 | 28 | 78 |
| 4 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 45 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 78 |
| 5 | Braintree TownBraintree | 45 | 20 | 13 | 12 | 65 | 54 | 11 | 73 |
| 6 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 45 | 21 | 9 | 15 | 70 | 51 | 19 | 72 |
| 7 | Worthing | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 87 | 71 | 16 | 72 |
| 8 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 45 | 21 | 5 | 19 | 72 | 65 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 44 | 18 | 12 | 14 | 76 | 64 | 12 | 66 |
| 10 | Farnborough Town | 44 | 19 | 9 | 16 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 44 | 18 | 10 | 16 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 64 |
| 12 | Bath City | 44 | 17 | 10 | 17 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 61 |
| 13 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 45 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 60 |
| 14 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 45 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 56 | 66 | -10 | 59 |
| 15 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 44 | 16 | 10 | 18 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 58 |
| 16 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 44 | 15 | 8 | 21 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 53 |
| 17 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 44 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 52 |
| 18 | Slough TownSlough | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 57 | 77 | -20 | 50 |
| 19 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 42 | 66 | -24 | 48 |
| 20 | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 61 | 88 | -27 | 47 |
| 21 | Cheshunt | 44 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 43 |
| 22 | Concord Rangers | 43 | 12 | 7 | 24 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 43 |
| 23 | Weymouth | 44 | 12 | 6 | 26 | 54 | 77 | -23 | 42 |
| R | Hungerford TownHungerford | 44 | 10 | 10 | 24 | 47 | 65 | -18 | 40 |
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