SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Bath City |
26.43% ( -0.48) | 25.53% ( -0.28) | 48.04% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 51.48% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.21% ( 0.77) | 51.79% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.45% ( 0.67) | 73.55% ( -0.67) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.64% ( 0.02) | 34.36% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.93% ( 0.02) | 71.06% ( -0.03) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( 0.66) | 21.57% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.35% ( 1) | 54.65% ( -1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Bath City |
| 1-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.43% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.36% Total : 48.03% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 42 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 98 | 41 | 57 | 97 |
| 2 | DartfordDartford | 40 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 73 |
| 3 | Oxford CityOxford City | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 73 | 51 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 41 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 71 |
| 5 | Braintree TownBraintree | 42 | 18 | 13 | 11 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 42 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 64 | 48 | 16 | 66 |
| 7 | Worthing | 41 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 82 | 67 | 15 | 66 |
| 8 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 42 | 20 | 5 | 17 | 69 | 62 | 7 | 65 |
| 9 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 41 | 18 | 9 | 14 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 63 |
| 10 | Farnborough Town | 41 | 18 | 9 | 14 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 63 |
| 11 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 63 | 65 | -2 | 63 |
| 12 | Bath City | 41 | 16 | 10 | 15 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 58 |
| 13 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 58 |
| 14 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 42 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 54 |
| 15 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 41 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 50 |
| 16 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 49 |
| 17 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 41 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 48 |
| 18 | Slough TownSlough | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 54 | 73 | -19 | 47 |
| 19 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 46 |
| 20 | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 41 | 12 | 6 | 23 | 57 | 86 | -29 | 42 |
| 21 | Cheshunt | 41 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 40 |
| 22 | Weymouth | 41 | 10 | 6 | 25 | 50 | 75 | -25 | 36 |
| 23 | Hungerford TownHungerford | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 41 | 57 | -16 | 35 |
| 24 | Concord Rangers | 37 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 71 | -38 | 31 |
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