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National League South | Gameweek 16
Jan 17, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Melbourne Stadium
Chelmsford City
1 - 1
St Albans City
Jackson (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jeffers (36')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and St Albans City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 52.55%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawSt Albans City
23.85%23.6%52.55%
Both teams to score 55.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.14%45.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.83%68.18%
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.67%33.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.05%69.95%
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.57%17.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.12%47.88%
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 23.85%
    St Albans City 52.54%
    Draw 23.6%
Chelmsford CityDrawSt Albans City
1-0 @ 6.38%
2-1 @ 6.13%
2-0 @ 3.51%
3-1 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 1.96%
3-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 23.85%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 5.81%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.6%
0-1 @ 10.14%
1-2 @ 9.74%
0-2 @ 8.87%
1-3 @ 5.67%
0-3 @ 5.16%
2-3 @ 3.12%
1-4 @ 2.48%
0-4 @ 2.26%
2-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 52.54%

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Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CEbbsfleet4632771104763103
2DartfordDartford462581382503283
3Oxford CityOxford City4621151083562778
4Worthing4622121292722078
5Chelmsford CityChelmsford City462391467491878
6St Albans CitySt Albans City462291572512175
7Braintree TownBraintree4620141266551174
8Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne46225197466871
9Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels462010166869-170
10Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville4619121580701069
11Bath City461910176457767
12Farnborough Town46199185952766
13Chippenham TownChippenham461517145766-962
14Taunton TownTaunton Town461710195055-561
15Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead461515164957-860
16Welling UnitedWelling United461514175763-658
17Hampton & RichmondHampton46159225971-1254
18Slough TownSlough461312215878-2051
19Weymouth46146265978-1948
20Dover AthleticDover Athletic461212224268-2648
RDulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet46139246189-2848
RConcord Rangers46128264585-4044
RCheshunt461110254874-2643
RHungerford TownHungerford461010264872-2440
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