Chelmsford City 3-0 Braintree Town - National League South - December 26, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Monday, January 2

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Dec 26, 2021 at 3pm UK at Melbourne Stadium

Chelmsford City

3 - 0

Braintree

Jackson (14', 28'), Blackwell (32')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Braintree Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford City	Draw	Braintree Town
43.78%	24.98%	31.24%

Both teams to score 56.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.19%

46.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.94%

69.07%

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.6%

21.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.6%

54.4%

Braintree Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.75%

28.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.04%

63.96%

Score Analysis

Chelmsford City 43.78%

Braintree Town 31.24%

Draw 24.97%

Chelmsford City	Draw	Braintree Town
1-0 @ 9.32% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.53% Total : 43.78%	1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.05% 2-2 @ 5.74% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.97%	0-1 @ 7.64% 1-2 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.24%

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Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Dartford Dartford	26	17	3	6	54	25	29	54
2	Havant & Waterlooville Havant & W'ville	24	15	4	5	53	33	20	49
3	Ebbsfleet	23	15	3	5	50	26	24	48
4	Chelmsford City Chelmsford City	23	13	5	5	33	19	14	44
5	St Albans City St Albans City	24	12	6	6	39	21	18	42
6	Worthing	25	10	10	5	40	36	4	40
7	Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne	25	12	3	10	44	38	6	39
8	Oxford City Oxford City	26	10	9	7	42	36	6	39
9	Braintree Town Braintree	24	10	7	7	37	31	6	37
10	Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels	25	10	3	12	34	41	-7	33
11	Bath City	24	8	8	8	34	34	0	32
12	Welling United Welling United	23	8	8	7	31	34	-3	32
13	Farnborough Town	21	8	6	7	23	22	1	30
14	Dulwich Hamlet Dulwich Hamlet	21	8	4	9	31	34	-3	28
15	Dover Athletic Dover Athletic	23	7	7	9	29	32	-3	28
16	Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead	24	7	6	11	26	35	-9	27
17	Taunton Town Taunton Town	18	6	7	5	18	17	1	25
18	Slough Town Slough	24	6	6	12	27	45	-18	24
19	Hampton & Richmond Hampton	22	6	5	11	29	38	-9	23
20	Concord Rangers	22	6	5	11	22	36	-14	23
21	Cheshunt	24	7	2	15	29	45	-16	23
22	Chippenham Town Chippenham	22	5	6	11	20	33	-13	21
23	Weymouth	22	5	3	14	24	42	-18	18
24	Hungerford Town Hungerford	23	3	4	16	17	33	-16	13