SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Gloucester City |
43.4% ( 0.01) | 26.47% ( -0) | 30.13% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.05% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.5% ( 0.01) | 53.5% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.99% ( 0.01) | 75.02% ( -0.01) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% ( 0.01) | 24.47% ( -0.01) |
