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National League North | Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Deva Stadium
Chester
3 - 2
Gloucester City
Dudley (28' pen.), Grand (87'), Glendon (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hulbert (59'), Leadbitter (81')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Gloucester City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 56.31%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 22.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FCDrawGloucester City
56.31%21.59%22.1%
Both teams to score 59.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.31%38.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39%60.99%
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.36%13.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.18%40.82%
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.11%30.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.82%67.18%
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 56.31%
    Gloucester City 22.1%
    Draw 21.59%
Chester FCDrawGloucester City
2-1 @ 9.82%
1-0 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 8.36%
3-1 @ 6.52%
3-0 @ 5.55%
3-2 @ 3.83%
4-1 @ 3.25%
4-0 @ 2.77%
4-2 @ 1.91%
5-1 @ 1.29%
5-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 56.31%
1-1 @ 9.86%
2-2 @ 5.77%
0-0 @ 4.21%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.59%
1-2 @ 5.79%
0-1 @ 4.95%
0-2 @ 2.91%
1-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 22.1%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Tamworth28202653193462
2Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe27166555233254
3Brackley Town28136934231145
4Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath27143103832645
5Chorley25127644281643
6Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton2712783528743
7Hereford UnitedHereford27134103336-343
8Alfreton TownAlfreton25126744311342
9Chester FCChester26126832201242
10Boston UnitedBoston2711883228441
11South Shields2711794233940
12Blyth Spartans2710894439538
13Warrington Town28108103637-138
14Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic2791082429-537
15Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports25104113238-634
16Rushall Olympic2896133843-533
17Spennymoor TownSpennymoor2695123945-632
18SouthportSouthport2795133049-1932
19Buxton2787123935431
20Banbury UnitedBanbury2686122441-1730
21King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn2869133245-1327
22Gloucester CityGloucester City2757152741-1422
23Darlington2757151951-3222
24Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford2752202658-3217
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