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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
49.47% ( 0.09) | 24.78% ( 0) | 25.75% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.22% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.78% ( -0.08) | 49.22% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% ( -0.07) | 71.28% ( 0.08) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.08% ( 0.01) | 19.92% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.94% ( 0.01) | 52.06% ( -0.01) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% ( -0.12) | 33.54% ( 0.12) |
