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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
50.16% ( 0.04) | 24.37% ( 0) | 25.46% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.25% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.27% ( -0.04) | 47.73% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.08% ( -0.04) | 69.92% ( 0.04) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.95% | 19.06% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.36% ( 0) | 50.64% ( 0) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% ( -0.06) | 32.98% ( 0.06) |
