Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.76%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
