Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
