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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 47.27% | 24.12% | 28.6% |
| Both teams to score 57.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
