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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 40.07% | 25.19% | 34.73% |
| Both teams to score 56.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
