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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 36.48% | 26.36% | 37.16% |
| Both teams to score 53.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
