Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
