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Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 2.25am UK
Soldier Field
NE

Chicago Fire
0 - 1
New England


Arigoni (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chancalay (62')
Kessler (22'), Lima (50'), Chancalay (72'), Ivacic (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 Atlanta
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 1-1 New England Revolution

Neither team heads into this weekend with much confidence due to how they have started this season, and that could lead to a cautious performance from them. While they each need to start picking up three points sooner than later, it would not be a surprise to see them play out to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%).

Result
Chicago FireDrawNew England Revolution
42.43% (-1.302 -1.3) 23.45% (-0.11 -0.11) 34.12% (1.416 1.42)
Both teams to score 62.97% (0.923 0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.31% (0.998 1)38.68% (-0.995 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.01% (1.042 1.04)60.99% (-1.041 -1.04)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37% (-0.14 -0.14)18.63% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.06% (-0.238 -0.24)49.93% (0.24 0.24)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (1.265 1.27)22.61% (-1.263 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.76% (1.843 1.84)56.23% (-1.841 -1.84)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 42.43%
    New England Revolution 34.12%
    Draw 23.45%
Chicago FireDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.165 -0.16)
1-0 @ 7.08% (-0.373 -0.37)
2-0 @ 5.95% (-0.342 -0.34)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.207 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 42.43%
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.57% (0.122 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.201 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.82% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.18 0.18)
0-1 @ 6.26% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.128 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.88% (0.227 0.23)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.177 0.18)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.146 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.135 0.14)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 34.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 Atlanta
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-4 Salt Lake
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-1 Houston
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 3-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, March 31 at 8.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-1 Chicago Fire
Saturday, March 23 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-4 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-0 New England
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-0 New England
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: America 5-2 New England
Wednesday, April 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: New England 1-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 0-4 America
Wednesday, April 3 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League


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