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Major League Soccer
Apr 28, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
IM

New England
1 - 4
Inter Miami

FT(HT: 1-1)
Messi (32', 67'), Cremaschi (83'), Suarez (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 0-3 Inter Miami

Even with all the injuries on the Miami side, their most important players appear to be healthy, which is bad news for a Revs side that look disorganised and out of sorts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawInter Miami
47.06% (0.0020000000000024 0) 23.39%29.55% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 60.97% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.38% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.24% (0.00099999999999767 0)62.75%
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (0.0019999999999953 0)17.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.11% (0.0020000000000024 0)47.89% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)26.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.76%61.23%
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 47.06%
    Inter Miami 29.55%
    Draw 23.39%
New England RevolutionDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.33%
1-0 @ 7.97%
2-0 @ 6.96%
3-1 @ 5.43%
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.37%
4-0 @ 1.77%
4-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 47.06%
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 4.56%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 7.16%
0-1 @ 6.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 1.83%
1-4 @ 1.07%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 29.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Toronto 1-0 New England
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-0 New England
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: America 5-2 New England
Wednesday, April 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: New England 1-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 0-4 America
Wednesday, April 3 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: New England 1-1 Chicago Fire
Saturday, March 23 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 2-3 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Monterrey 3-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, April 11 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-2 Colorado
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-2 Monterrey
Thursday, April 4 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 NY City
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer


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