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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Dallas | 18 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 | Nashville SC | 18 | 3 | 27 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 17 | 7 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Nashville SC |
41.83% ( 0.83) | 27.48% ( -0.23) | 30.69% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 48.3% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.86% ( 0.67) | 57.14% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.99% ( 0.53) | 78.01% ( -0.52) |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( 0.77) | 26.93% ( -0.76) |
