SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 48.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Annecy had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for an Annecy win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valenciennes | Draw | Annecy |
48.85% ( 0.26) | 26.84% ( -0.12) | 24.31% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 45.88% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.85% ( 0.33) | 58.15% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.19% ( 0.26) | 78.81% ( -0.26) |
| Valenciennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.1% ( 0.27) | 23.9% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.89% ( 0.38) | 58.11% ( -0.38) |
| Annecy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.29% ( 0.06) | 39.71% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.62% ( 0.05) | 76.38% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valenciennes | Draw | Annecy |
| 1-0 @ 13.58% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 48.85% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.39% Total : 24.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angers | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | Auxerre | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 |
| 3 | Grenoble | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 35 |
| 4 | Laval | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 35 |
| 5 | PauPau | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 31 |
| 6 | GuingampGuingamp | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 30 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
| 9 | Ajaccio | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | Caen | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 29 |
| 11 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 29 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 28 |
| 13 | Bastia | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
| 14 | Troyes | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
| 15 | Bordeaux | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Concarneau | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 22 |
| 17 | Annecy | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 19 |
| 18 | Quevilly | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 14 |
| 20 | Valenciennes | 20 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 11 |
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