SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 53.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 1-0 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rodez AF | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
20.83% ( -0.01) | 25.44% ( -0.04) | 53.72% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.8% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.78% ( 0.13) | 56.22% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.73% ( 0.11) | 77.27% ( -0.11) |
| Rodez AF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.94% ( 0.07) | 42.05% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.52% ( 0.06) | 78.48% ( -0.06) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.04% ( 0.07) | 20.96% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.29% ( 0.12) | 53.71% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rodez AF | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.17% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.31% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.49% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.11% Total : 20.83% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 13.77% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 10.76% 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 53.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 37 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 72 |
| 2 | Metz | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 69 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 69 |
| 4 | Bastia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 60 |
| 5 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 59 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 52 |
| 9 | Grenoble | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 47 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 45 |
| 14 | Annecy | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 45 |
| 15 | PauPau | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 44 |
| 16 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | Laval | 37 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 43 |
| 18 | Dijon | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 42 |
| 19 | Nimes | 37 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 28 |
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