SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris FC | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
36.98% ( 0.01) | 26.03% | 36.99% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.12% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.68% ( -0) | 50.31% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.74% ( -0) | 72.26% ( 0) |
| Paris FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% | 26.43% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.39% ( -0) | 61.6% ( 0) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% ( -0) | 26.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.4% ( -0.01) | 61.6% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris FC | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.65% 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.32% Total : 36.98% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.32% Total : 36.99% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 35 | 19 | 14 | 2 | 44 | 16 | 28 | 71 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 69 |
| 3 | Metz | 36 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 57 | 31 | 26 | 66 |
| 4 | Bastia | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 59 |
| 5 | Caen | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 58 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 52 |
| 7 | Paris FCParis FC | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 51 |
| 8 | Grenoble | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 51 |
| 9 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | GuingampGuingamp | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 49 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 44 |
| 13 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 14 | Annecy | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 42 |
| 15 | Dijon | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 41 |
| 16 | PauPau | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 41 |
| 17 | Laval | 36 | 12 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Valenciennes | 35 | 8 | 15 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 39 |
| 19 | Nimes | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 36 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 62 | -30 | 28 |
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