SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nimes | Draw | Valenciennes |
41.92% ( -3.79) | 27.44% ( 0.91) | 30.63% ( 2.88) |
| Both teams to score 48.37% ( -1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.96% ( -2.18) | 57.04% ( 2.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.07% ( -1.77) | 77.93% ( 1.77) |
| Nimes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( -2.9) | 26.84% ( 2.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.86% ( -3.97) | 62.14% ( 3.98) |
| Valenciennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.11% ( 1.05) | 33.89% ( -1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.44% ( 1.12) | 70.56% ( -1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nimes | Draw | Valenciennes |
| 1-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.47)2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.68)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.55)3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.62)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.3)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.32)Other @ 2.01% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.73)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 1.05) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.39)0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.7)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.3)2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 37 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 72 |
| 2 | Metz | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 69 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 69 |
| 4 | Bastia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 60 |
| 5 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 59 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 52 |
| 9 | Grenoble | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 47 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 45 |
| 14 | Annecy | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 45 |
| 15 | PauPau | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 44 |
| 16 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | Laval | 37 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 43 |
| 18 | Dijon | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 42 |
| 19 | Nimes | 37 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 28 |
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