SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Le Havre | 6 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 | Valenciennes | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Grenoble | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Laval | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Nimes | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Saint-Etienne | 6 | -2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.63%). The likeliest Nimes win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valenciennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valenciennes | Draw | Nimes |
40.04% ( 0.72) | 29.9% ( 0.61) | 30.06% ( -1.33) |
| Both teams to score 41.56% ( -1.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.6% ( -2.19) | 65.4% ( 2.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.83% ( -1.55) | 84.17% ( 1.55) |
| Valenciennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.99% ( -0.69) | 32.01% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.52% ( -0.79) | 68.48% ( 0.8) |
| Nimes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.13% ( -2.24) | 38.87% ( 2.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.4% ( -2.18) | 75.6% ( 2.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valenciennes | Draw | Nimes |
| 1-0 @ 14.17% ( 0.85) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.34)2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.84% Total : 40.04% | 1-1 @ 13.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.97)2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.3)Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.89% | 0-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.39)0-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.17)Other @ 1.54% Total : 30.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 18 | 14 | 1 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 68 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 65 |
| 3 | Metz | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 62 |
| 4 | Bastia | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 53 |
| 5 | Sochaux | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 52 |
| 6 | Caen | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 52 |
| 7 | Grenoble | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 50 |
| 8 | Quevilly | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 48 |
| 9 | Paris FCParis FC | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 47 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 54 | 51 | 3 | 46 |
| 11 | GuingampGuingamp | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 45 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 44 |
| 13 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 41 |
| 14 | PauPau | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 40 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 38 |
| 16 | Annecy | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 38 |
| 17 | Laval | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 37 |
| 18 | Dijon | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 35 |
| 19 | Nimes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 27 |
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