SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Laval | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Caen | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Niort | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Valenciennes | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Metz | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Bastia | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Metz had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Caen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Metz |
44.76% ( 2.44) | 27.33% ( -0.07) | 27.91% ( -2.37) |
| Both teams to score 47.32% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.3% ( -0.72) | 57.7% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.54% ( -0.57) | 78.46% ( 0.57) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.33% ( 0.93) | 25.67% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.42% ( 1.25) | 60.58% ( -1.25) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.66% ( -2.22) | 36.34% ( 2.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.88% ( -2.32) | 73.12% ( 2.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caen | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.67)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.4)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.18% Total : 44.76% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.45)0-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.47)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.3)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.16)Other @ 1.89% Total : 27.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 23 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | Sochaux | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 40 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 39 |
| 4 | Metz | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
| 5 | Grenoble | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 37 |
| 6 | Quevilly | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Bastia | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 34 |
| 8 | Caen | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 33 |
| 9 | AmiensAmiens | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 33 |
| 10 | GuingampGuingamp | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Annecy | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 29 |
| 12 | Valenciennes | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Paris FCParis FC | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 28 |
| 14 | Laval | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | PauPau | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 27 |
| 16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 24 |
| 17 | Nimes | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 23 |
| 18 | NiortNiort | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 23 |
| 19 | Dijon | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
| 20 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 21 |
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