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N
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
BL
Nice
1 - 0
Brest
Laborde (54')
Boudaoui (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Le Douaron (59')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 2-2 Nice
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brest 0-0 Reims
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 2-1 Brest

Both sides have gradually improved in recent weeks, but we think Nice will have enough to edge this contest considering their current unbeaten run, and their position in the table. The visitors have had more joy on their travels than on their own patch this season, but only three teams have conceded more goals than Brest, suggesting Laborde could expose their defence here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nice.

Result
NiceDrawBrest
54.76% (0.175 0.17) 24.35% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 20.89% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)
Both teams to score 48.94% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.9% (0.216 0.22)52.1% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.18% (0.186 0.19)73.82% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.06% (0.151 0.15)18.93% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.55% (0.249 0.25)50.44% (-0.249 -0.25)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.37% (0.024000000000001 0.02)39.63% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.69% (0.023 0.02)76.31% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Nice 54.75%
    Brest 20.89%
    Draw 24.34%
NiceDrawBrest
1-0 @ 12.48% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 10.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.76% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.025 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 54.75%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 20.89%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: FC Koln 2-2 Nice
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lorient 1-2 Nice
Sunday, October 30 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 2-1 Partizan
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Nice 1-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 23 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Nice
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-2 Slovacko
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brest 0-0 Reims
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-3 Brest
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 4-1 Brest
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-2 Lorient
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Brest
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MonacoMonaco74211810814
2Brest641186213
3Nice633084412
4Paris Saint-GermainPSG7331146812
5Reims6312118310
6StrasbourgStrasbourg731379-210
7Le HavreLe Havre623110739
8Marseille7232911-29
9Rennes615010648
10Lille622289-18
11Metz6222710-38
12NantesNantes6222111108
13Lens7214712-57
14Montpellier HSCMontpellier61329906
15Lorient61321012-26
16Toulouse613268-26
17Clermont7025512-72
18Lyon6024311-82
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