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BL
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Jan 9, 2022 at 12pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
N
Brest
0 - 3
Nice
 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dolberg (13'), Delort (79'), Gouiri (90+3')
Kluivert (25'), Benitez (55'), Todibo (65')
Schneiderlin (20')

We said: Brest 1-2 Nice

As good as Brest have been at home this season, Nice are equally strong on the road and do not appear to be intimidated by opposing crowds. Nice tend to react well despite some slow starts, and they have shown a lot more focus and determination late in matches in this campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawNice
32.08%26.45%41.47%
Both teams to score 51.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.25%52.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.62%74.38%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34%30.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09%66.9%
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89%25.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19%59.81%
Score Analysis
    Brest 32.08%
    Nice 41.46%
    Draw 26.44%
BrestDrawNice
1-0 @ 9.1%
2-1 @ 7.44%
2-0 @ 5.38%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 32.08%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.7%
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 10.63%
1-2 @ 8.69%
0-2 @ 7.35%
1-3 @ 4%
0-3 @ 3.39%
2-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.46%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MonacoMonaco74211810814
2Brest641186213
3Nice633084412
4Paris Saint-GermainPSG7331146812
5Reims6312118310
6StrasbourgStrasbourg731379-210
7Le HavreLe Havre623110739
8Marseille7232911-29
9Rennes615010648
10Lille622289-18
11Metz6222710-38
12NantesNantes6222111108
13Lens7214712-57
14Montpellier HSCMontpellier61329906
15Lorient61321012-26
16Toulouse613268-26
17Clermont7025512-72
18Lyon6024311-82
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