SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Ajaccio |
39.61% ( 0.02) | 28.16% ( -0.02) | 32.22% |
| Both teams to score 46.83% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.77% ( 0.06) | 59.23% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.35% ( 0.05) | 79.65% ( -0.04) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( 0.04) | 29.17% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.89% ( 0.05) | 65.11% ( -0.05) |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.11% ( 0.03) | 33.89% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.44% ( 0.04) | 70.56% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.61% Total : 39.61% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 68 | 29 | 39 | 66 |
| 2 | Lens | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Marseille | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 60 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 57 |
| 5 | Lille | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 52 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 46 |
| 8 | Nice | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 44 |
| 10 | Lorient | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 44 |
| 11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | Clermont | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 37 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Brest | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 27 |
| 16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 26 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 26 |
| 18 | Troyes | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 62 | -24 | 21 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 29 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 21 | 52 | -31 | 21 |
| 20 | Angers | 29 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 64 | -42 | 11 |
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