Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
