SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Strasbourg | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 | Angers | 6 | -11 | 2 |
| 20 | Ajaccio | 5 | -6 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Rennes | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Lorient | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Lille | 5 | -2 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 47.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajaccio | Draw | Lorient |
47.05% ( 0.64) | 28.29% ( -0.49) | 24.66% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 42.49% ( 1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.33% ( 1.42) | 62.68% ( -1.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.77% ( 1.02) | 82.23% ( -1.02) |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( 1) | 26.81% ( -1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.89% ( 1.3) | 62.11% ( -1.29) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.05% ( 0.69) | 41.95% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.61% ( 0.59) | 78.39% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajaccio | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 14.8% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.8% Total : 47.04% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.61)2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.28% | 0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.15% Total : 24.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 68 | 29 | 39 | 66 |
| 2 | Lens | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Marseille | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 60 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 57 |
| 5 | Lille | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 52 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 46 |
| 8 | Nice | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 44 |
| 10 | Lorient | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 44 |
| 11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | Clermont | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 37 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Brest | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 27 |
| 16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 26 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 26 |
| 18 | Troyes | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 62 | -24 | 21 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 29 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 21 | 52 | -31 | 21 |
| 20 | Angers | 29 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 64 | -42 | 11 |
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