Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
