SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mazatlan | Draw | Queretaro |
35.69% ( -0.38) | 26.1% ( 0.07) | 38.21% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 53.85% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.36% ( -0.3) | 50.64% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.45% ( -0.27) | 72.55% ( 0.28) |
| Mazatlan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.66% ( -0.37) | 27.34% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.21% ( -0.48) | 62.79% ( 0.49) |
| Queretaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% ( 0.04) | 25.9% ( -0.03) |
