Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cruz Azul in this match.
