SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Juarez win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Juarez |
46.28% ( 1.24) | 24.76% ( -0.05) | 28.95% ( -1.19) |
| Both teams to score 55.81% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.01% ( -0.41) | 46.99% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.76% ( -0.39) | 69.24% ( 0.39) |
| Cruz Azul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( 0.37) | 20.37% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.22% ( 0.58) | 52.78% ( -0.59) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.09% ( -1.04) | 29.91% ( 1.04) |
