SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Club Leon |
33.85% ( 0.01) | 26.02% ( -0.07) | 40.12% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.81% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.44% ( 0.3) | 50.56% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.52% ( 0.27) | 72.48% ( -0.27) |
| Cruz Azul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% ( 0.15) | 28.42% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.83% ( 0.19) | 64.17% ( -0.19) |
| Club Leon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( 0.17) | 24.83% ( -0.17) |
