Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
