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Sep 5, 2022 at 8pm UK at Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough
vs.
Sunderland
 

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Middlesbrough 1-1 Sunderland

Mowbray will return to his former club looking to heap further pressure on Wilder, and there is a strong argument that the visitors are the favourites for this contest. However, a derby could bring the best out of Boro, leading us to predict a competitive draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw has a probability of 24.9% and a win for Sunderland has a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Sunderland win it is 0-1 (7.26%).

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
55.87% (1.071 1.07) 24.93% (-0.364 -0.36) 19.2% (-0.708 -0.71)
Both teams to score 44.88% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.81% (0.491 0.49)56.19% (-0.491 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.76% (0.395 0.4)77.25% (-0.395 -0.39)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.92% (0.625 0.63)20.08% (-0.626 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.68% (0.991 0.99)52.32% (-0.993 -0.99)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.16% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)43.84% (0.514 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.01% (-0.426 -0.43)79.99% (0.426 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 55.86%
    Sunderland 19.2%
    Draw 24.93%
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 14.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.34% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.051 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.07% (0.232 0.23)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.122 0.12)
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.138 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 55.86%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 8.8% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.244 -0.24)
1-2 @ 4.81% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 19.2%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, August 30 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Swansea
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-2 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, August 17 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-2 Sheff Utd
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Barnsley
Wednesday, August 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sunderland 3-0 Rotherham
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, August 27 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Sunderland
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-1 Sunderland
Wednesday, August 17 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 QPR
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Sunderland
Wednesday, August 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
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