SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Middlesbrough has a probability of 31.74% and a draw has a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win is 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.56%).
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Middlesbrough |
43.6% ( -0.62) | 24.66% ( 0.12) | 31.74% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 57.7% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.8% ( -0.35) | 45.2% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.46% ( -0.34) | 67.54% ( 0.34) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.19% ( -0.42) | 20.81% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.52% ( -0.66) | 53.48% ( 0.66) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% ( 0.14) | 27.14% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.47% ( 0.19) | 62.53% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.71% Total : 43.6% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Burnley | 42 | 26 | 14 | 2 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 92 |
| 2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 65 | 36 | 29 | 82 |
| 3 | Luton TownLuton | 43 | 20 | 15 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 75 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 82 | 52 | 30 | 74 |
| 5 | Millwall | 43 | 18 | 11 | 14 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 65 |
| 6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 42 | 19 | 7 | 16 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 64 |
| 7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 63 |
| 8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 63 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 52 | 9 | 62 |
| 10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 62 |
| 11 | Preston North EndPreston | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 62 |
| 12 | Watford | 43 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 |
| 13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 43 | 16 | 11 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 59 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 53 |
| 15 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 53 |
| 16 | Hull City | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Stoke CityStoke | 43 | 14 | 10 | 19 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 52 |
| 18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 42 | 10 | 16 | 16 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 42 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 45 |
| 20 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 43 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 44 |
| 21 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 43 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 44 |
| 22 | Reading | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 43 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 43 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 38 |
| 24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 43 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 35 | 63 | -28 | 37 |
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