SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 62.42%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Preston North End |
62.42% ( -0) | 22.01% ( -0.01) | 15.57% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.45% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.57% ( 0.06) | 50.43% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.64% ( 0.05) | 72.37% ( -0.05) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.39% ( 0.02) | 15.62% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.39% ( 0.03) | 44.61% ( -0.03) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.05% ( 0.05) | 44.95% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.11% ( 0.04) | 80.9% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 13.03% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.49% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 62.41% | 1-1 @ 10.42% 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.7% Total : 22.01% | 0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.17% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 1.41% Total : 15.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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