Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Newport County |
28.37% ( -0) | 25.07% ( -0.01) | 46.56% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.41% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.35% ( 0.04) | 48.65% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.24% ( 0.03) | 70.76% ( -0.03) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.81% ( 0.02) | 31.19% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.47% ( 0.02) | 67.53% ( -0.02) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.07% ( 0.02) | 20.93% ( -0.02) |