SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Brentford |
40.97% ( -0.04) | 26.33% ( -0.05) | 32.69% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.89% ( 0.22) | 52.11% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.17% ( 0.19) | 73.83% ( -0.2) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( 0.08) | 25.08% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.23% ( 0.11) | 59.77% ( -0.11) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.07% ( 0.17) | 29.93% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.96% ( 0.2) | 66.03% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Brentford |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.97% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 40 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 39 |
| 6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 31 |
| 9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 29 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 28 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Fulham | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 24 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Everton | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 15 |
| 19 | Burnley | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 11 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
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